Why Nigerians should worry about a second Trump presidency

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By LaBode Obanor

The current political discourse surrounding former President Donald Trump’s attitudes toward immigrants reveals a pronounced hostility that carries significant ramifications for Nigerians both at home and abroad. His public statements frequently invoke derogatory language—referring to immigrants as “vermin,” “poison,” and “invaders”—indicative of a deep-rooted aversion to immigrant populations. For example, he has infamously labeled Mexican immigrants as “criminals” and “rapists,” sparing only a minority as “good people.

Trump’s harsh rhetoric extends to other immigrant groups. In one instance, he generalized about Haitian immigrants, equating their presence with a “death wish” for the United States due to alleged public health concerns. He was similarly dismissive of African nations, including Nigeria, which he once referred to as a “shithole country.”

Such language exemplifies a pattern of derogatory sentiment, which raises urgent questions about how a second Trump presidency could impact Nigerian citizens, particularly those dependent on remittances from family members residing in the United States.

Trump has articulated plans for mass deportations, which he pledged to execute using an unprecedented mobilization of state, local, federal, and military resources. These proposals carry profound implications for Nigerians abroad and at home, where remittances represent an essential lifeline. Many Nigerian families, especially those near and below the poverty line, rely on financial support from relatives in the U.S. to meet basic needs such as food, housing, healthcare, and education. The loss of these funds could have catastrophic effects on individual households and the Nigerian economy.

The Economic consequences for Nigeria will be dire. Notably, these remittances from the Nigerian diaspora are crucial to the country’s economic stability, contributing an estimated $20 billion annually to Nigeria’s GDP. These funds are a vital source of foreign exchange, helping to buffer the economy against inflation and support the
Naira. The sudden reduction or loss of remittances could destabilize an economy already grappling with severe challenges, amplifying financial hardships for millions of Nigerian families.

The potential re-election of Donald Trump poses a serious threat to this economic support system, heightening the urgency for Nigerians to understand the broader impact his policies could have.

Moreover, Trump has signaled a commitment to renegotiate trade agreements to prioritize American interests, a strategy that could devastate Nigeria’s export sector. As one of the largest exporters of crude oil to the U.S., Nigeria depends heavily on this revenue, which totaled approximately $3.9 billion in 2023. However, Trump’s “America First” policies, which advocate for heightened U.S. oil production, would likely depress global oil prices, directly undermining Nigeria’s oil-dependent economy.

A decline in oil revenues could exacerbate Nigeria’s fiscal challenges, affecting government revenue and further straining foreign exchange reserves. Another concern is the threat to Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Already, Nigeria is experiencing a wave of capital flight as businesses continue to shut down operations and depart
the country. Trump’s “America First” policy will exacerbate this trend.

FDI, an essential driver of economic growth in Nigeria, would see a steep decline if his proposed strategy of curtailing U.S. investments abroad to prioritize domestic interests is implemented.

Nigeria could experience a sharp decline in investment inflows in critical sectors such as technology and infrastructure. This reduction could stunt job creation, intensify poverty, and hinder progress in addressing Nigeria’s infrastructural deficit. This would slow economic advancement at a time when foreign investment is urgently needed to bolster development.

I must also stress that his anticipated immigration policies are likely to extend beyond undocumented immigrants, with proposals under the “Project 2025” agenda indicating efforts to restrict various legal immigration pathways, suspend refugee admissions, and intensify deportation initiatives. This agenda includes plans for surveillance and deportation measures that do not distinguish between legal and undocumented immigrants, raising significant concerns about the protection of civil rights and creating a pervasive climate of fear within immigrant communities.

A mass deportation would affect not only undocumented immigrants but also Nigerian families who depend on relatives with legal immigration status in the United States. For many Nigerian households, remittances from U.S.-based relatives are essential for survival. Reducing or cutting off these funds would impoverish individual families, destabilize communities, and weaken the broader Nigerian economy.

Therefore, it is imperative that Nigerians, both within the diaspora and in Nigeria, reassess their views on a second Trump presidency, remarkably if such support is grounded in the perception of Trump as a proponent of Christian values. Trump’s policies and rhetoric starkly contradict godly principles and threaten the well-being of Nigerian citizens both in the United States and in Nigeria.

A second Trump presidency could undermine the economic foundation and social fabric many Nigerians depend on, presenting risks too grave to ignore. The consequences of his implicit reelection demand urgent attention and critical reflection from Nigerians at home and abroad, as the future of countless families and the stability of Nigeria’s economy may hang in the
balance.

Contact: JlaBode74@gmail.com 

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